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📉 Atlanta Fed model predicts GDP to shrink 2.8% in Q1: Trumpcession The US could see the biggest GDP contraction since the COVID-19 lockdown, as President Donald Trump’s tariff plans continue to cause havoc. The US economy could be shrinking at its fastest rate since the COVID-19 lockdown, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow model, which is now forecasting America’s gross domestic product to fall 2.8% in the first quarter. The new forecast differs immensely from just a month ago, which estimated America’s GDP was tracking close to a 4% growth for Q1.  While GDP trackers like the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta can be volatile, several economic indicators also support the downward trend, which could also spell trouble for the crypto markets too, should a global liquidity crunch and more geopolitical conflict ensue. The possible GDP fall could trigger the start of a Trump-inflicted recession, or “Trumpcession,” as some call it. America’s GDP hasn’t shrunk by more than 2.8% since Q2 2020, where it fell 32.9% as the world went into lockdown from the COVID-19 pandemic. The estimated fall may have been contributed by America’s record-high $153 billion trade deficit in January, the Census Bureau reported on Feb. 28. The 25.6% trade deficit increase from December likely came as a result of businesses front-loading imports before President Donald Trump implemented his first round of tariffs. A Feb. 25 survey from The Conference Board showed the consumer confidence index sank from 105.3 points to 98.3 in February — the biggest month-to-month fall since August of 2021. Consumer spending also fell 0.2% in January — though only 11 days occurred under Trump — while investor and billionaire Warren Buffett reportedly believes Trump’s tariffs could fuel more inflation and hurt consumers. Macroeconomic concerns have been blamed for the recent slump in crypto prices, which has Bitcoin BTC $84,060 and Ether ETH $2,067 down 10.2% and 21.6% over the last two weeks. Despite Trump’s promise to make America the “crypto capital” of the world — in part through forming a Crypto Strategic Reserve — more than $670 billion has been shaved off the total crypto market cap since he was inaugurated on Jan. 20. Not all GDP models have a grim outlook like Atlanta’s Fed's GDPNow model. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s model forecasted a 2.9% increase for Q1 in its latest Feb. 28 update, while the GDP tracker from the Federal Reserve of Dallas predicted a 2.4% increase on Feb. 27. Atlanta Fed GDPNow model mimics the methods used by the Bureau of Economic Analysis to estimate changes in GDP, while the New York one applies Bayesian estimation and adopts filtering techniques to assess a broader range of data. The Federal Reserve of Dallas places a greater emphasis on state-level data to gather a more localized perspective on how economic growth is tracking.

The first five partners are CEX platforms, they have to be in building the liquidity but have you ever thought what next? nah, Alot of us stuck in web2! Stay tuned and watch the KYB list one by one. May evidents you something better than CEX. DYOR 14.03 $PI 🔮

Arthur Hayes: I firmly believe we are still in a bull cycle, and as such, the bottom at worst will be the previous cycle’s all-time high of $70,000. One positive liquidity dollar signpost is that the US Treasury General Account is declining, which acts as a liquidity injection. We will be cautiously nibbling on dips using no leverage.

$PI okey everyone, one march.14 the price will go very high, the 300 dollar mark will come and just buy more and hold it to march.14. Stop trading and selling because the price will go down so useless.

$HOOD - Probably fire some money back into this one at low or sub $40s. Red candles aren't scary when you take profits and get to be patient in cash.