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Bitcoin trading activity falls – Is a big price shift coming? In recent weeks, Bitcoin’s [BTC] 90-Day active supply has been on a noticeable decline, raising questions about the current state of market demand and investor sentiment. This has long been used to assess both the level of new market interest and the overall mood of traders. As the metric continues to fall, it’s crucial to understand what this shift could mean for Bitcoin’s price movement and what trends investors should watch for in the coming months. Active supply, market demand, and sentiment The 90-Day Active Supply helps to read into both market demand and sentiment by tracking the Bitcoin that has been transacted at least once within a 90-day period. A high active supply typically signals increased market participation, often reflecting rising demand from new or short-term traders. Conversely, a decline in active supply may indicate reduced interest or a shift in sentiment, as long-term holders are less likely to sell during periods of lower market activity. Historically, significant shifts in active supply have correlated with changes in market mood, often signaling potential price fluctuations and trends. Factors behind the shift in market behavior The recent decline in Bitcoin’s 90-Day Active Supply pointed to a reduction in short-term trading activity, signaling less interest from new market participants. If this trend continues, it suggests that Bitcoin’s price may either consolidate sideways for an extended period or experience a slight dip. Several factors contribute to this shift. After Bitcoin’s surge past the $100,000 mark following President Donald Trump’s election, the market has faced heightened volatility, driven by policy uncertainties and inflation concerns. This has led to more cautious trading behavior. Additionally, the SEC’s decision to drop its case against Coinbase has created a more favorable regulatory environment, encouraging long-term holding over active trading. As institutional interest grows, market participants seem to be adopting a wait-and-see approach, which could further impact the active supply metric moving forward. Historical trends and patterns in Bitcoin’s active supply A review of historical Bitcoin cycles reveals that the active supply tends to rise during bull market peaks and contract in early-stage rallies or post-halving consolidation periods. The chart indicates previous spikes in active supply during Bitcoin’s major price surges in 2013, 2017, and 2021, followed by steep declines during corrective phases. Notably, the recent downturn in active supply mirrors trends observed before major breakouts, suggesting that current market participants are holding onto their assets in anticipation of a higher price leg. If this pattern holds, Bitcoin could be in a consolidation phase before another upward move. Has this impacted BTC’s price? Bitcoin was trading at $96,214 at press time, showing a 0.27% decline in the last 24 hours. The RSI at 45.03 indicated that BTC is in neutral territory, neither oversold nor overbought. The OBV was trending downward, indicating weakening buying pressure, which aligned with the decline in 90-Day active supply. BTC has been consolidating below the $100,000 mark after failing to establish a clear breakout. The diminishing short-term trading activity indicates that investors are cautious, likely waiting for stronger catalysts. If BTC fails to reclaim momentum, a pullback toward $90,000 remains possible. However, if demand picks up, BTC could attempt another push toward psychological resistance at $100,000 $BTC

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TL;DR Although the landscape around the entire crypto market and meme coins, in particular, seems quite gloomy recently, DOGE still has a chance for a major rally and a new all-time high, said Ali Martinez. However, it’s essential for the OG meme to remain above a certain support, which has historically led to impressive runs. The most critical support zone for #Dogecoin $DOGE is between $0.19 and $0.16. If this level holds, the $3 target remains a strong possibility. pic.twitter.com/VZyqSM2p8U — Ali (@ali_charts) February 22, 2025 It’s safe to say that the post-US-election mania has faded for many crypto assets, and some, such as DOGE, has returned to levels close to those before November 5. Recall that Dogecoin’s price had soared to roughly $0.5 after Trump won the elections but now struggles to remain above $0.25 after a 31% monthly decline. Nevertheless, the OG meme token has seen worse, even during this cycle, as it slumped toward $0.2 on a couple of occasions in times of substantial price crashes. According to the popular analyst Ali Martinez, though, the asset still has a chance to resume its rally and head toward uncharted territory. To do so, it needs to sustain the $0.19 support line, which he labeled as ‘the most crucial’ zone. He added that DOGE has been trading inside an ascending channel for years and has ‘tended to rebound’ from the lower boundary since 2014 and head toward the upper one. The most recent such bounce-off occurred during the early February massacre, which could be the propeller for a surge toward $3 and even $4. “If history repeats, as long as Dogecoin holds above $0.19, it could rally to the resistance trendline at $4.” – Martinez concluded. There’re certainly some bullish developments happening in the Dogecoin ecosystem, such as the multiple filings for a spot DOGE ETF in the US, which many experts believe have a great chance of succeeding under Trump’s administration. Consequently, analysts have outlined impressive price targets for the largest meme coin, and many agree there will be a new all-time high. However, investors should be wary before allocating funds to any assets, particularly meme coins, about the risks of significant volatility and rapid crashes, especially in times of uncertainty that could rattle the entire market, just like yesterday’s hack against Bybit. The post DOGE Could Still Surge to $3 if it Holds This Key Support Line: Analyst appeared first on CryptoPotato.

The broader crypto market is facing a downturn, but some projects are still recording significant network activity. One such asset is Ondo (ONDO), the native token of the Ondo ecosystem. It is a decentralized finance (DeFi) network that leverages blockchain technology to tokenize real-world assets (RWAs). ONDO Dominates RWAs Space According to a tweet by the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock, ONDO is currently dominating the real-world assets space. The asset has outperformed most RWA tokens and has the highest transaction volume. $ONDO is dominating the RWA space, posting the highest transaction volume and significantly outperforming other tokens, even in the current sluggish market pic.twitter.com/j7KV79dL1K — IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) February 19, 2025 IntoTheBlock data shows Ondo’s transaction volume hovering close to $300 million, compared to other projects whose numbers are less than $40 million. A few weeks ago, Ondo’s transaction volume spiked to roughly $450 million before a steep plunge that saw the metric hover around $200 million. However, it has begun to rise again and is well on its way to smashing the $300 million mark. Although ONDO dominates transaction volumes, the same cannot be said for asset prices. As the fifth-largest RWA by market cap, ONDO was worth $1.23 at the time of writing, recording a slight uptick in the past 24 hours. The asset was down 7% weekly and 6% monthly, according to data from CoinMarketCap. ONDO is among the most visited tokens on CoinMarketCap, but the asset still lacks the daily and monthly momentum seen among its rivals. Ondo Records Significant Developments Nevertheless, the Ondo project has recorded several developments lately. The team recently unveiled the Ondo Chain, a layer-1 blockchain built for institutional-grade RWAs. The developers said Ondo Chain was built to end the lack of features necessary for regulated assets to thrive on-chain. The new network aims to crush infrastructure barriers for tokenized regulated securities. The barriers include incompatibility with DeFi, cross-chain liquidity fragmentation, high and volatile transaction fees, and inadequate security. Ondo Chain combines the openness of public blockchains with the compliance and security features of permissioned networks. Besides the introduction of the Ondo Chain, Ondo Finance recently secured a strategic collaboration with the U.S. President Donald Trump-backed DeFi protocol, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), to accelerate the adoption of tokenized RWAs. The alliance sees WLFI exploring the integration of Ondo’s tokenized assets into the WLFI network as treasury reserve assets. The post This Crypto Asset is Dominating the RWA Space Even Amid the Market Drawdown appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Argentine President Javier Milei, at the Conservative Political Action Conference, proposed a free US-Argentina trade deal, saying he agrees with Trump’s reciprocity agenda. He argued that Argentina is willing to have a mutual free trade deal with the United States, saying its only hindrance is its membership ties to Mercosur, the South American trade bloc. He commented: “I want to take this chance to announce that Argentina wants to be the first country in the world to join this reciprocal accord that the Trump administration proposed on trade matters.” – Javier Milei Argentina’s Milei endorsed Trump’s reciprocal tariff plans Javier Milei met with Donald Trump on the sidelines of the CPAC conference and showed support for the billionaire’s reciprocal tariff plans, which many other countries have seemingly criticized. According to the Argentine government, the two also spoke about the economic measures Milei is advancing in his country and how crucial it is for both countries to collaborate with each other. Moreover, during his speech at the conference, the Argentine president repeatedly endorsed some of Trump’s strategies while bashing what he called “a political class with a God complex.” He also promised to work together with countries that share his vision of freedom and want to root out state bureaucracy, seeing Trump as one of his ideological allies. Aside from Trump, Milei also met with Tesla CEO Elon Musk and even handed him a chainsaw, his government’s symbol of ending state bureaucracy. He also talked with International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva about an IMF loan, which he believes could help grow his country’s economy. Milei is still under investigation for marketing a suspicious meme token While the Argentine leader is seemingly showing more interest in his relationship with the US, he is facing corruption allegations and is currently under investigation for promoting a rather speculative crypto coin. Just after its launch, Milei posted about the LIBRA meme coin on X on the grounds that he wanted to support growing businesses and startups. His post quickly encouraged a price surge for the token, bringing its market valuation to over $4 billion. However, as traders started to withdraw their assets, the token collapsed, with analysts saying the coin showed all the signs of a rug pull. The LIBRA crypto scandal is now locally known as “cryptogate”, with a few influential characters involved, including a 28-year-old American entrepreneur who helped launch First Lady Melania Trump’s meme coin. Meanwhile, the libertarian president distanced himself from the crypto project soon after its dip, even deleting his initial X post, but he did ask the Justice Ministry’s Anti-Corruption Office to investigate the case. Milei and five more others, however, are currently under probe for creating and marketing the token and possible crimes of fraud, abuse of authority, and bribes. Cryptopolitan Academy: How to Write a Web3 Resume That Lands Interviews - FREE Cheat Sheet