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Bitcoin [BTC] was trading near $105,233, at the time of writing, with a 24-hour trading volume of over $52.6 billion. While the cryptocurrency has seen a 2.58% price increase over the past day and a 2.80% rise in the past week, it continues to face challenges breaking above the $106,148.52 resistance. According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin was rebounding into the light blue diagonal resistance of its triangular pattern within the $101K-$106K range Rekt Capital emphasized that a daily close above this diagonal resistance is critical for Bitcoin to break out of the pattern and potentially revisit range highs. Without this confirmation, Bitcoin risks another rejection, as seen in past “upside FOMO wicks” that have led to pullbacks. The $101,165.33 support level remains a key area for buyers. A breakdown could trigger further declines to lower targets like $91,070.40 or $87,325.43. On-chain data reveals a decline in the number of large Bitcoin holders. Crypto analyst Ali reported d that around seventy whale entities, each holding over 1,000 BTC, have exited the network or redistributed their holdings since mid-December. This shift could indicate reduced confidence among large investors or a change in portfolio strategies. Santiment’s data also notes that Bitcoin is becoming less sensitive to external market factors, such as Federal Reserve interest rate policies. While past bull and bear cycles in crypto closely followed U.S. interest rate movements, the market appears to be maturing, with Bitcoin behaving less like high-leverage tech stocks. However, the reduction in whale activity may still create short-term uncertainty in price action. Bitcoin’s Funding Rates, which measure the cost of leveraged long or short positions, spiked sharply in early December alongside a rise in price. However, Funding Rates have since stabilized near 0.008%, aligning with Bitcoin’s sideways price movement through late December and January. This stabilization suggests reduced leverage activity and reflects indecision among traders. Despite the current pause in Funding Rate volatility, Open Interest in Bitcoin futures has increased by 3.39% to $66.06 billion, according to Coinglass. Similarly, Options Volume was up 11.68% to $3.45 billion, indicating growing market engagement. Yet, these figures suggest traders remain cautious, with no clear consensus on Bitcoin’s next move. The key question for Bitcoin now is whether it can achieve a daily close above $106,148.52. This would confirm a breakout and likely push the price toward $110,000. Failure to break above this level could result in further consolidation or a pullback toward the $101K support. As Bitcoin struggles with resistance, the redistribution of whale holdings and reduced leverage in Funding Rates signal traders are closely monitoring these levels.$BTC

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Timeline is still so filled with PTSD from previous cycles that they'll see anything and immediately start discussing if it's a top signal or not. In 2017, the cycle topped shortly after Katy Perry shared her Crypto Nails, and the market topped in 2021 on Coinbase going Public and various crypto cover stories and special issues (Forbes, Fortune, etc) I doubt the same event works as a top indicator again, it'd mean the market wouldn't have progressed at all - while we now have ETFs, and various governments discussing crypto stockpiles. The US strategic reserve going live, or perhaps the ECB finally giving up on hating Bitcoin would be my pick for this cycle's top signal instead. A simple daily cover with Saylor honestly feels like a nothingburger. Your thoughts?

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In 2025, Bitcoin's (BTC) cryptocurrency market share has continued to rise despite a flood of novel memecoins. Bitcoin dominance nears 59% despite crypto crazeCoinbase CEO Brian Armstrong recently complained about “~1m tokens a week being created now, and growing,” calling for a new approach to exchange listing in the US. Nevertheless, the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D), which tracks BTC’s market cap versus the rest of the crypto market, has actually risen by 15.50% in January, and up 55% in the past three years. Bitcoin’s rising market share defies the downside calls shared by various chartists and crypto commentators.Source: XStrong ETF inflows put Bitcoin target at $200KA key driver of Bitcoin's growing dominance is the increasing involvement of institutional investors. The approval and launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have made Bitcoin more accessible to traditional investors, bolstering its market presence. For instance, as of Jan. 29, these funds collectively managed $39.57 billion worth of assets, up from $1.17 billion over a year ago.Bitcoin ETF net cumulative flows. Source: Farside InvestorsFurthermore, the latest data indicates that Bitcoin whales have been amassing significant amounts of BTC, a trend closely linked to the advent and success of Bitcoin ETFs.Private Bitcoin transactions utilizing CoinJoin—a method that enhances transaction privacy—have tripled since 2022, attributing to large-scale accumulators, including entities associated with spot Bitcoin ETFs and firms like MicroStrategy, moving substantial amounts of Bitcoin.Analysts from institutions like Standard Chartered predict that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, given the robust inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.Trump’s crypto plans favor Bitcoin over altcoinsThe political landscape has bolstered Bitcoin's market position through the election of Donald Trump, a “pro-crypto” US president. Several US Senators, namely Cynthia Lummis, Ted Cruz, and French Hill, have also advocated for Bitcoin.Additionally, several US states are moving forward with legislation to allocate public funds to Bitcoin. This includes Wyoming, Arizona, New Hampshire, and North Dakota, which are eyeing BTC as a potential strategic asset. Related: Vitalik outlines strategy for scaling Ethereum and strengthening ETHOn Jan. 23, Trump signed an executive order directing the so-called Policy Working Group to explore the possibility of creating a national Bitcoin stockpile.This initiative aligns with Trump’s previous discussions about establishing a federal Bitcoin stockpile to strengthen the US financial position, given it does not imply adding altcoins into the reserve, despite companies such as Ripple strongly advocating for it. “No more altseason”Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from the broader crypto market, a shift that has become more apparent in recent months, as noted by Sam Wouters, an executive associated with River Financial, a Bitcoin financial services company.Historically, Bitcoin and altcoins have moved in tandem, with altcoins often outperforming BTC during speculative "alt seasons." However, as the latest market cap trends suggest, Bitcoin is beginning to diverge, outperforming other “crypto” assets.Bitcoin vs. other cryptocurrencies market cap. Source: River“The truth is, there is no more alt season,” said Wouters, adding that traders should leave behind such “false narratives” and recognize Bitcoin’s exceptionalism. ”This cycle, bitcoin is leaving ‘crypto’ in the dust,” added market analyst Tuur Demeester.Source: XEthereum's losing streak vs Bitcoin not over? Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), is now in its longest slump ever against Bitcoin. The ETH/BTC pair is down 65% since 2022, prompting some analysts to question whether more pain is coming. Source: XDespite US-based Spot Ethereum ETFs recording positive inflows since November, the CoinShares weekly report says that Bitcoin funds have accounted for over 90% of all inflows in the digital sector this year.There’s also a growing sentiment that Ethereum is less attractive to retail investors due to high transaction fees and slower transaction times than competitors like Solana.Source: XAdditionally, the leadership changes within the Ethereum Foundation and internal disagreements about the project’s roadmap are likely undermining investor confidence as well. Meanwhile, Ether technicals suggest that if the weakness persists, ETH/BTC will likely test 0.030 BTC, a key support level that preceded a 190% rebound in 2021.ETH/BTC three-week price chart. Source: TradingViewIt also served as a key resistance in 2016, preceding a 75% decline and is aligned with ETH/BTC’s 0.786 Fibonacci retracement line.Therefore, the 0.030 BTC level is crucial, so slipping below it risks testing 0.023 BTC, a support level from December 2017 and December 2020.Conversely, a bounce from 0.030 BTC could have Ether test the local high of around 0.040 BTC in the coming months.In US dollar terms, the $3,500 resistance level is key for the bulls in the coming weeks. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. $BTC